Survivor: Cambodia – Cast Analysis

Second Chances: Cambodia

Survivor Cambodia Logo

It is finally happening. After years of discussions among fans on message boards and reddit, we have reached a point where Survivor is finally bringing back former castaways, sans winners, for a second chance. Aptly referred to as Survivor: Second Chance (although the official title is Cambodia), this season will pit 20 former contestants against eachother. This won’t be another terrible fans vs. favourites season, this will be a full fledged all-stars season, and they have assembled quite the cast. As I’ve done with Survivor: Worlds Apart, I have taken our intrepid cast of 20 and done an analysis on how I think they will fare in this season. I have avoided spoilers up until this point, so my predictions are based only on some minor pregame press that I have been exposed to, as well as my thoughts on the castaways based on their prior performance.

Cast Analysis – Bayon Tribe

Joe Anglim

Joe_Anglim

How They Did Last Time

MacGyver Joe, one of the two castaways from Worlds Apart that are once again gracing our screens. Joe found himself on the No Collar tribe in Worlds Apart and very early found himself constructing the majority alliance to vote out Vince and later Nina. Joe was later placed on the Blue collar tribe once the No Collars were dissolved and was saved by the grace of Mike Halloway, the eventual winner. Once the tribes had merged, Joe survived by winning individual immunities. As soon as he lost an immunity challenge, Joe was easily dispatched by the remainder of the Blue Collar tribe (and former ally Will).

Predictions

I made predictions about Survivor: World’s Apart and I pride myself in the few castaways that I got correct, Joe was one of them. I found that Joe was more likable than originally anticipated, but overall he was a relatively boring challenge threat that was a cheap imitation of Malcolm and an even cheaper imitation of Ozzy. Joe is really going to struggle in a season like this because of all of the pre-game alliances that occur in an all-star season.  Castaways are going to be less concerned about coming into a merge with numbers, because their plan may involve people from opposing tribes. As a result, Joe will be seen as a big threat pre-merge and there will be a desire to take him out before the merge, especially with physical challenge contenders already on the tribe such as Savage, Tasha, and Jeremy.

Predicted Placement

13/20

Jeremy Collins

Jeremy Collins

How They Did Last Time

Jeremy was a popular player from Survivor: San Juan Del Sur that I never quite understood the appeal of. He played very hard out of the gate, volunteering for the first duel which turned out to be against his wife, Val. This choice ultimately had a big impact on Val’s chances in the game, setting her apart as an early outsider to her tribe. Later Jeremy attempted to ally with John Rocker, asking him to look after Val. John complied with the request, but Val’s own overplaying resulted in her being voted out. Jeremy responded emotionally against Val’s boot and ended up ousting John as having been working with Jeremy, resulting in the boot of his ally from the other tribe. Jeremy gathered a minority alliance, but was set up to be the next boot when he was saved due to John Rocker’s wife, Julie, quitting. Jeremy was able to find himself lucky enough to have John and Jaclyn flip the next vote due to irritation with one their allies. Jeremy’s alliance continued in power, but after Jeremy confronted ally Jon about possessing an immunity idol, Jon decided to flip and vote Jeremy out.

Predictions

I’ve never been hot on Jeremy. I thought he played an overrated and weak game in Survivor: San Juan Del Sur due to being far to emotional. His complete misread of the John Rocker situation cause him to boot a potential ally from the other tribe, and he was unable to play a good social game (such as his frustrations with Drew Christy). Jeremy is physical player, but he was unable to make a big enough impact in the individual game to suggest that he is capable of an immunity run. However, his ineptitude in San Juan Del Sur might allow him to be brushed off as not being a threat and being a capable soldier. I fully expect Savage to embrace Jeremy as part of his alliance, and Jeremy will be an early post-merge boot.

Predicted Placement

11/20

Ciera Eastin

Ciera Eastin

How They Did Last Time

Ciera Eastin, daughter of Laura Morett, made her debut in the first Blood Vs Water season. Ciera was fairly unmemorable in the pre-merge, but played things smart. She allied closely with Katie Collins, the daughter of survivor legend Tina, and formed a close bond of two. Both girls stayed under the radar and maneuvered carefully through the game until the merge. Ciera famously chose to vote out her mother in order to make herself less of a threat within the tribe. Ciera also had another decisive moment when she flipped on her previous alliance of Tyson, Gervase, and Monica and forced a tie to draw rocks. Ultimately her gambit did not pay off and Katie was voted out. Ciera was voted out soon after and finished 5th.

Predictions

I’ve gone back and forth on Ciera. Initially I brushed off her play due to frustrations over failing to flip one episode earlier, which could have had a major impact on he game. However in reconsidering the season I see more value in the game that she played, and I think Ciera could actually perform well. My biggest concern of Ciera would be that I don’t think Savage will be trusting her, and I think Savage will come out as the early tribe leader. Cirea’s two famous moments from Survivor: Blood VS Water were voting out her own mother, and flipping on her alliance to force a rock draw. Working in Ciera’s favour however, is being on the same tribe as Kass and Stephen, both of whom I think will be early targets. Their elimination combined with a tribal immunity run could get her to an inevitable tribe swap which could save her.

Predicted Placement

16/20

Stephen Fishbach

Stephen Fishbach

How They Did Last Time

Stephen Fishbach is among one of the most successful second chancers. Along with Woo and Kelly Wigglesworth, Stephen finished second in his season. Early in Survivor: Tocantins, Stephen’s tribe was decimated by challenge losses and injuries, and eventually the tribes merged with only two other castaways remaining from Stephen’s original tribe, eventual winner JT and Taj. Despite the overwhelming odds against them, Stephen and co. found immediate cracks in the opposing tribe and managed to make it to the final four. At this point, Stephen and his long time ally JT voted against Taj. At the final immunity challenge, JT prevailed and agreed to honour their original alliance and take Stephen (a move Stephen was unsure that he would have done.) Stephen was completely overwhelmed in the final tribal council and gave a very poor performance, losing with no votes in his favour.

Predictions

Hands down Stephen is my favourite castaway this season. I loved him in Tocantins, and listen to him very regularly on Survivor Know it alls. Unfortunately I don’t think Stephen will do well this season, based entirely on his tribe makeup. Andrew Savage is not fond of weaker tribe mates (see Ryan S) and I can see Stephen’s east-coast intellectual persona being an easy target. Among the other tribe mates he is likely seen as a strategic threat so I can easily see them being on board with this plan. I view only Kass being a bigger target on the Bayon tribe, and if Stephen isn’t careful he will be the second voted out. The only thing that I could see saving him are if Kimmi has issues getting along with the tribe, Ciera being identified as a larger threat, or a tribal immunity win.

Predicted Placement

18/20

Tasha Fox

Tasha Fox

How They Did Last Time

In Survivor: Cagayan, Tasha was a member of the failing Brains tribe. Tasha was a part of the successful women’s alliance in the tribe, voting out the stronger challenge threat due to his alpha personality. She was notable for leading the tribe in practicing for the challenges, which may have contributed to the struggling tribe gaining several victories near the end of their time.  Tasha was able to weather a tribe swap and made it to the merge with fellow Brains tribes members Spencer and Kass. Quasi allies, Tasha and Spencer worked together at times, including a pivotal moment where they were able to convince Tony of a fake women’s alliance to convince him to vote out an ally. Tasha also set herself out as a challenge beast, winning 3 individual immunity idols.

Predictions

Mrs. Tasha Fox! Tasha was a very interesting character during Survivor: Cagayan, partially because of her ambiguity in strategy. It was never entirely clear who Tasha was aligned with, sometimes it seemed like Spencer, other times she seemed more of a free agent. One thing was for sure, she could win challenges. I fully expect Tasha to become a key member of Andrew Savage’s alliance this year. Savage traditionally values strength and Tasha is well set up to be a linchpin in Bayon’s challenge game. Unfortunately I think she lacks some of the deeper connections that other veterans have, which indicates to me that she will be cut shortly after merge, probably as soon as she wins an immunity challenge.

Predicted Placement

7/20

Kimmi Kappenberg

Kimmi Kappenberg

How They Did Last Time

One of the first contestants to have drama follow her throughout the season, Kimmi had lasted less time in the game than any of the other second chancers. She had immediate conflicts with other castaways due to her risque conversation subjects and her issues with authority. She also caused problems in her tribe due to her vegetarianism, refusing to partake in part of an eating challenge and having issues with her tribe mates eating chickens. In the end, Kimmi was voted out during her section trip to tribal council.

Predictions

Every season of survivor has a subset of castaways that I would predict as goats. These are people who have no shot at winning, no strategy, and irritate the jury. Kimmi played on a season that didn’t think about the strategy of playing against goats, but if they had, Kimmi would have been a goat. Its hard to tell this season, a part of me thinks that Kimmi will still be the same person that she was in season 2, another part of me thinks she will have grown to better work within a tribe. In the end, the cynic in my says that Kimmi will be the same Kimmi, but now she will have more value as a goat. Being on a tribe with (what I predict will be) the Andrew Savage alliance, Kimmi will have a target on her for not fitting in. If Kimmi can make it to a tribe swap she might have a better chance in his game.

Predicted Placement

10/20

Kass McQuillen

Kass McQuillen

How They Did Last Time

Chaos Kass made waves fairly consistently through Survivor: Cagayan. Originally a part of the failing Brains tribe, Kass formed an alliance with the other women on the tribe to vote out the men, despite one of the women dumping out most of the tribe’s rice. In the end, Kass decided to keep the final man of the brains tribe, Spencer, who she proceeded to feud with for the rest of the season. Kass became infamous for flipping on alliances and starting confrontations with her alliance members (including an incident when she caused Tony Vlachos to “speak Llama”. Kass left the game with a reputation for being combative and argumentative and prone to flipping when unhappy with her current allies.

Predictions

Choas Kass is the villain we love to hate. She is very full of herself, and made it long enough in her first outing to make her feel justified in her opinions. However she is a complete mercenary who seems to actively enjoy being antagonistic. Unfortunately Kass does not have anyone in her tribe who I view being willing to align with her, other than possibly Kimmi (another predicted outcast). I can say with confidence that Kass will not win, and I am fairly certain that she will be the first boot. For the sake of entertainment value, I really hope that she isn’t.

Predicted Placement

20/20

Keith Nale

Keith Nale

How They Did Last Time

His first time through Survivor: San Juan Del Sur, Keith Nale urged his fellow tribe mates to “Stick to the plan.” Keith played with his son Wes, where it became apparent that he was unfamiliar with the finer parts of survivor strategy. Despite this, he managed to make it far in the season. Keith found a hidden immunity idol by tripping over it and stayed in a majority alliance for the first half of the season until the merge. After alliance member Jon and Jaclyn flipped, Keith maneuvered himself through the post-merge game. He won several individual immunities to keep himself safe, although while getting confused at a tribal council he did inadvertently alert target Jon about a plan to vote him out, which caused his son Wes to be booted. In the end, Keith managed to make it to the final immunity challenge, however he lost and was voted out just shy of the final tribal council.

Predictions

During Survivor: San Juan Del Sur I found Keith Nale and his son Wes to be hilarious, but I did not want to see Keith on my television again. Keith was unbelievably out of his depth during his first time on the show. He made mistakes, generated mistrust with allies (such as Jeremy), and caused his son to be voted out. If anything, Wes was a more capable and more entertaining player. They say you can’t teach an old dog new tricks, and I think this will be the case with Keith and he will fail to improve whatsoever. Keith will likely do fine in his tribe, falling under the Andre Savage alliance, and will perform decently in challenges. However, Keith will still lack the game sense to be successful in the post-merge. He will be identified as a goat and someone will attempt to bring him to the end.

Predicted Placement

5/20

Monica Padilla

Monica Padilla

How They Did Last Time

I actually had to look up who Monica was, as I couldn’t even remember her from Samoa due to the Russel Hantz edit that the season received. Monica spent the start of the season on the rocks were her tribe. Originally the cause of the tribe’s first immunity loss, Monica managed to weather the first vote. She was targeted for the second vote, however a medical evacuation cancelled the tribal council, saving Monica a second time. Once the tribe’s merged Monica managed to make her way into a majority alliance for several weeks until Russel Hantz’s alliance pushed themselves into the majority. At this point Monica’s days were numbered, and despite some last minute scrambling she was voted out when her remaining ally won immunity.

Predictions

A lot of pregame predictions think we have a lot that we can expect from Monica. A common argument is we didn’t really see her gameplay due to the Russel edit, which is true, but it doesn’t provide confirmation of good gameplay. As I mentioned, I had trouble remembering who Monica was, and that plays against my ability to predict how she will do. I don’t think she will become a key member of the Andrew Savage alliance, but at the same time I don’t think she is first on the chopping block either. I anticipate another forgettable finish as an early-game player.

Predicted Placement

14/20

Andrew Savage

Andrew Savage

How They Did Last Time

Andrew Savage, a veteran from Survivor: Pearl Islands, famous for leading the organized but ultimately unsuccessful Morgan tribe. Savage took control of the tribe early on, but due to some poor choices at the beginning of the game when bartering at a fishing village, the team was very unprepared for life in the island. This, combined with several weaker tribe members, put Morgan on a losing streak for the first half of the game. As the group began to win challenges and whittle down the Drake tribe, they found themselves at the mercy of the outcasts twist where a past member of Morgan was able to reenter the group. One of the castaways, Osten Taylor then quit and when the tribes merged Andrew was voted out by his former Morgan ally.

Predictions

Andrew Savage is one that a lot of people think about when it comes to second chances. The fan-base is split, whether his dictator attitude was his undoing and he could have done better to weather the outcasts twist, or if the outcasts twist was an unfair game changer that torpedoed Savage’s game. Savage is a natural leader and I can’t imagine anyone else stepping into that role (but Jeremy will certainly bitch about it.) Andrew will take an early command of his tribe and begin to pick off those who he views as weak or disloyal. Savage will not win this game, because the idea of 19 other survivors playing with his loyalty and strength attitude is fundamentally flawed. There are three scenarios that will see Savage being voted out:

  1. A tribe swap puts Savage at a numbers disadvantage. If this is the case, he is voted out first loss after the swap.
  2. After the merge, Savage finds himself at a numbers disadvantage. I think merge numbers play less of an important role in a season like this, and I think this is the most likely scenario regardless of how well his tribe does. Savage will be voted out at merge, possibly by some of his own alliance.
  3. Savage’s alliance comes into the merge with the numbers, his alliance holds together, and he is voted out because he has a strong chance of winning. I think this is probably least likely, but if Savage’s alliance is holding true in the late-game, I think its inevitable.

Predicted Placement

12/20

Cast Analysis – Takeo Tribe

Vytas Baskauskas

Vytas Baskauskas

How They Did Last Time

Vytas was one of the most prolific family members of former castaways on the original Survivor: Blood VS Water season. A former drug addict and the brother of Survivor: Panama winner, Aras, Vytas stood out in his tribe for his openness and his determination to beat his brother.  He also went through the season with an almost mercenary attitude by flipping on his alliance by voting out Brad Culepepper. An inopportune tribeswap moved Vytas away from his allies and instead with a tribe of women, however he charmed and flirted his way into surviving two more tribal councils. Vytas was reunited with his brother at the merge, but was immediately betrayed by the alliance headed by eventual winner Tyson Apostle, who Vytas and Aras thought they were aligned with.

Predictions

I was a huge Vytas fan during Survivor: Blood VS Water. I think Vytas plays a very solid game that you don’t see as often: manipulation through very good social skills. Vytas is also one of the few that made it work even from a position of weakness. I am very anxious to see how well he does this season, because Vytas’ style of game is far more villainous than his tribe mates. I could see Vytas putting him self in an early core alliance with the likes of Abi-Maria and Peigh Gee, but buddying up to whichever group is in power at any given time. My winner pick for Survivor: Cambodia is going to be either Peigh Gee or Vytas and it will really come down to who is willing to cut whom first.

Predicted Placement

1/20

Spencer Bledsoe

Spencer Bledsoe

How They Did Last Time

The young lad, Spencer is famous for being on the ropes for the entire season of Survivor: Cagayan. Placed on the Brains tribe, who had a great deal of trouble functioning as a team, Spencer found himself outside of the majority women’s alliance. He managed to survive when the tribe decided that Spencer’s athleticism and challenge acumen might help avoid their losing streak. Spencer continued through a tribe swap to an eventual merge where he was in a majority alliance, however former ally Kass betrayed his alliance and Spencer was once again at the bottom. He won several individual challenges and made it far in the season, but was notorious for his feud with Kass, losing an idol clue to Woo Hwang, and several weeks where he managed to avoid being voted off as Tony Vlachos cannibalized his own alliance. However, in the end Spencer found himself being voted out just shy of the final tribal council.

Predictions

Spencer is another that I was a big fan of in his original season, Survivor: Cagayan. Spencer was the perpetual underdog that you wanted to root for. Berated for his age by his fellow tribe mate, Kass, Spencer constantly found himself with the rug pulled out from under himself as he navigated the game. Spencer has been fairly honest and humble about his failings in his first attempt at Survivor, which is admirable, however I can’t quite put my backing on him because of his high profile. Spencer was a fan favourite, his game was praised (probably more than deserved), and I can’t help but think that he doesn’t have an alpha mode when it comes to playing. I anticipate him once again being in the underdog state, but not being able to last as long this time around.

Predicted Placement

15/20

Terry Deitz

Terry Deitz

How They Did Last Time

Terry Deitz was one of the most notable examples of a challenge beast in Survivor. From the season Survivor: Panama, Terry found himself on the La Mina tribe which consisted of older men. After the first vote, the tribes merged into two, and Terry emerged in a leadership role. Despite an initial win, the La Mina tribe proceeded to be beaten by the opposing tribe and eventually merged at a numbers disadvantage. Even though the Casaya tribe was highly dysfunctional, they stayed strong and systematically voted out the remaining La Mina tribe. Terry wound up finding a hidden immunity idol on Exile island that season, however he failed to use it strategically and instead won the next five individual immunity challenges. In the end, Terry found himself in a final immunity challenge that saw Danielle victorious and she chose long time tribemate Aras over Terry.

Predictions

Terry Deitz was a challenge rockstar last time he ventured out for a game of Survivor, but that was ten years ago. Terry is going to be ten years older, ten years weaker, ten years slower, and against other serious challenge contenders. Unlike other second chancers, Terry doesn’t give much indication that he has learned from his mistakes, which is understandable. Terry had a Mike Holloway-esq challenge run, only to be put in an unwinnable final immunity challenge. Terry had no mind for strategy last time around and I doubt that has changed. With far more threatening competition, Terry will find himself in a post-merge that he can’t contend with. I do think that Terry will have some success in the early game and will likely find himself quickly in an alliance (my guess is Jeff Varner).

Predicted Placement

8/20

Abi-Maria Gomes

Abi-Maria Gomes

How They Did Last Time

Originally in Survivor: Philippines, Abi-Maria started off slowly but soon became a beacon of controversy. She began to distrust her ally RC Saint-Amour, suspecting RC of working against her. Despite her very aggressive attitude alienating her tribe mates, Abi-Maria found herself a part of the dominant tribe and avoided having to participate in tribal council for several weeks. When the tribes finally merged, Abi-Marie was in the majority alliance, however the attitudes of her and her alliance eventually alienated fellow alliance member Lisa to flip to the other side and began voting out Abi-Marie’s other allies. Despite being a main target, Abi-Maria managed to strategically play an immunity idol and win individual immunity to keep herself in the game. She also attempted to buy herself more time in the game by tricking the rest of her tribe into thinking she had found a second immunity idol, however she was unsuccessful and eventually found herself voted out.

Predictions

What can we say about Abi-Maria? How can such a volatile person be so lovable? We watched with joy as she flew off the deep end constantly, and gained the ire of her tribe. I don’t imagine that she will play much differently this time. She is unapologetic-ally argumentative and prideful and all around a perfect goat to bring to the end. Abi-Maria is my call for this years final tribal council goat. I predict that she will align with Vytas and Peigh-Gee early on in this game, and that alliance will carry her to the end.

Predicted Placement

2/20

Woo Hwang

Woo Hwang

How They Did Last Time

Woo Hwang is one of three castaways this year to have previously been in the final two of a season. Woo made it to the finale in Survivor: Cagayan, only to have just one vote cast in his favour (from Tasha Fox, who was also asked back for Second Chances). Woo was a fan favourite from his season for his fun loving attitude and his seemingly endless positive disposition. He aligned himself early with former NBA player Cliff Robinson, and after he was voted out Woo switch allegiances to Tony Vlachos, the eventual sole survivor. Woo also had a memorable moment when Spencer Bledsoe (also in the second chances cast) dropped his clue for a hidden immunity idol, which Woo stole, setting off a mad idol hunt.

Predictions

Woo gets a lot of flack for being included in the second chances vote, but I personally think he is an ideal candidate. In season 28, Woo made a million dollar mistake in bringing Tony to the end, and he should get a chance to redeem himself. I fully expect Woo to be an energetic challenge threat that entertains audiences and steals the show every time he is on screen. I could see him allying himself with the likes of Terry Deitz to form a powerful, but ultimately strategically lacking, pair.  Despite good friendship and bond, I think Woo and Terry will find themselves being betrayed by someone like Vytas (you know what, I’ll get specific: Vytas will betray them) and Woo won’t make it to the end game.

Predicted Placement

9/20

Peih-Gee Law

Peih-Gee Law

How They Did Last Time

Peigh-Gee Law was originally on Survivor: China where she managed to finish fifth despite her tribe being on an initial losing streak at the start of the game. Peigh-Gee was constantly outspoken and frustrated with her fellow tribe mates. During a (quite frankly absurd) tribe-swatch in which the tribes were able to choose members of the other tribe to come over to their tribe, Peigh-Gee worked with her other tribe members to throw challenges in order to get an advantage going into the merge. Eventually Peigh-Gee was the only remaining castaway from her original tribe, but was voted out just short of the final immunity challenge.

Predictions

Peigh-Gee Law was one that I didn’t care for upon first viewing, but grew an appreciation for. In a rare case, the dominent group on Survivor: China were portrayed as the heroes. Todd, Amanda, and James were fan favourites and Peigh-Gee was the scheming underdog trying to ruin things for them. Nevertheless, in retrospect I grew a real appreciation and enjoyment for Peigh-Gee’s game. If she can avoid her previous attitude issues and create bonds with the other castaways, Peigh-Gee could be a real threat (and I fully expect her to be.) I’m predicting Peigh-Gee and Vytas to form an early alliance which will see them both to the end with Abi-Maria.

Predicted Placement

3/20

Shirin Oskooi

Shirin Oskooi

How They Did Last Time

In the most recent season, Survivor: Worlds Apart, Shirin seemed perpetually on the outs with her tribe. Originally she began to alienate the other members of her tribe through socially awkward behaviour including stripping naked, talking about monkey sex, and constantly discussing the meta survivor game with Max Dawson. She found herself on the bottom of the White Collar tribe, even after a tribe swap occurred. Once the tribes merged, Shirin aligned herself with most of the No Collar tribe, and later Mike, putting herself in the minority alliance for almost the entire game. Shirin frequently incurred the ire of her tribemates including Dan Foley for his frustration that she was sticking with the minority alliance. Shirin was also part of a controversial scene when she accused Will Sims of hiding food, and he became irate and berated her. In the end, Shirin managed to finish 8th in the game and came away as one of the most memorable castaways in recent years.

Predictions

I’ve made it no secret that I don’t care for Shirin. I wasn’t a fan in her World’s Apart assessment and she didn’t impress me in the game. Poor social skills and a self entitled attitude hampered her in her first go, and despite being a student of the game she displayed very little strategy. A high profile from her previous season, combined with a difficult personality to get along with suggest that she will probably be the first to go on her tribe.

Predicted Placement

19/20

Jeff Varner

Jeff Varner

How They Did Last Time

Jeff Varner is one of the earliest players returning for Survivor: Cambodia. Jeff first played as a part of the successful Kucha tribe. Jeff immediately became agitated by Kimmi Kappenberg, another returnee for this season, and was reportedly responsible for starting the infamous finger wagging fight over the chickens that Kimmi had with fellow tribe mate Alicia. Jeff unfortunately was voted out due to two key factors. The first being the unfortunate incident when Michael Skupin fell into the fire. This caused Kucha to lose their numbers advantage in the merge. The second was that Kimmi had previously revealed to a contestant from the opposing tribe that Jeff had received several votes at a previous tribal council. In the past rules of survivor, in the event of a tie, whomever had received the most votes previously would be voted out.  As a result a tie vote was forced and Jeff, who had more votes than Colby, was eliminated from the game.

Predictions

In all of the pre-game press that I have read, no one seems to be taking survivor more seriously than Jeff Varner. His appetite for the game is insatiable and  last time around his strategy seemed to be on point. Had Michael Skupin not had his accident in Australia, Jeff Varner could have won that season. Although I think Jeff stands a good chance, and will become the early leader of a majority alliance on Takeo, I think he is too clever for his own good and will be cut late post-merge but one of the more under the radar players.

Predicted Placement

4/20

Kelley Wentworth

Kelley Wentworth

How They Did Last Time

I had to double check which Kelley was which when writing this blog because of how similar their names are (and my propensity to doubt myself). Kelley Wentworth appeared on the show last year during Survivor: San Juan Del Sur along with her father Dale. Kelley found herself on the dominant Hunaphu tribe at the beginning of the game and easily navigated through three immunity challenge wins. Although understated, Kelley herself did fairly well during the immunity challenges. Eventually the tribe did lose (after throwing the challenge) and tribe mate Drew Christy, fearing a women’s alliance, conspired to vote out Kelley. In response, Kelley formed an actual women’s alliance to flip the vote. Her success was short lived when the tribes merged, at this point she found herself in the minority alliance due to her father’s poor relationship with Missy and Baylor, and Kelley was targeted and voted out.

Predictions

Kelley is a bit of a darling in the Survivor fandom. She is viewed as a competent player who never really had a chance due to her pairing in San Juan Del Sur. I am more uncertain on Kelley and don’t know if I believe all of her hype. She may just be a pre-merge player who played a pre-merge game and won’t improve upon it much. I can’t see her creating strong bonds in her initial tribe, and I think there aren’t obvious boots for Takeo. Like in SJDS, I think Kelley will once again be a pre-merge boot.

Predicted Placement

17/20

Kelly Wiglesworth

Kelly Wiglesworth

How They Did Last Time

The original runner up, Kelly Wiglesworth, was last seen on Survivor: Borneo. Kelly was notable for trying to create the first voting block, attempting to rally the women to vote out fellow tribe mate Rudy. This ultimately was unsuccessful, however Kelly was recruited, along with Rudy, into the first formal Survivor alliance: the Tagi 4. Post-merge, Kelly began to have second thoughts on operating as part of an alliance and started voting instead for those she felt to be less deserving of being there. Despite her flipping on her alliance, the Tagi 4 was still able to target the remaining Pagong Members. Kelly also had a notable immunity challenge run, winning 4 individual immunity challenges in a row (setting a still unbeaten record for female castaways). In the end, Kelly betrayed her friend Sue Hawk in the final four vote, prompting the very famous Snake and Rat speech at the final tribal council.

Predictions

Kelly Wiglesworth, the biggest unknown of this entire cast. From all reports, she hasn’t watched another season of Survivor since her own, nor does she even own a TV. It is a bold claim and one that I can’t say I truly believe. If what she says is true, one has to wonder what the draw is to come back. Undercover fan, or complete apathy towards the game for the past 15 years, either way I think Kelley is coming to play. I could easily see her aligning with someone like Jeff Varner early in the game and making it far into post-merge. As the trend of my analyisis shows, I don’t have as much faith in the end-game of the old-school players, and I think Kelly will be outfoxed along with Jeff.

Predicted Placement

6/20

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